Forecast Drivers

Included with every ElenIQ plan

Channel Performance Predictions Powered by Your Data

Forecast spend, outcomes, and efficiency by campaign type using configurable lookback windows, pacing models, and confidence scoring. Part of Forecasting Intelligence, included with every ElenIQ plan.

Forecast Preview

Historical spend and revenue with forward-looking projections - from Forecasting Intelligence.

Sample data - actual forecasts are generated from your uploaded campaign data.

How It Works

Forecast Drivers analyses your historical campaign data to build forward-looking projections by campaign type and channel.

Campaign Type Forecasting

Forecast performance by campaign type with configurable lookback windows (4-52 weeks) and forecast horizons (1-26 weeks). ElenIQ groups your data by campaign type and builds channel-level projections.

Spend & Outcome Projections

See projected total spend, forecasted outcomes (revenue for e-commerce, leads for lead-gen), and modelled efficiency metrics - ROAS or CPL - for each campaign type over your chosen horizon.

Confidence Scoring

Every forecast includes a confidence score based on data volume, variance stability, and model fit. Stability labels - High, Medium, or Directional - help you gauge how much weight to place on each projection.

Pacing Distribution Models

Choose how budget is distributed across the forecast period - Even, Front-loaded, Back-loaded, or Promo pacing. Each model reshapes the weekly spend curve to match your campaign cadence.

Lead-Gen Guardrails

For lead generation models, ElenIQ applies CPL clamping, spend-range validation, and conversion-rate stability checks to prevent unrealistic projections and flag potential data issues.

Variance Decay Forecasting

Forecast uncertainty narrows over time using variance decay. Early weeks carry wider confidence intervals that progressively tighten, giving you realistic bounds on projected performance.

Forecast Output Metrics

Every Forecast Drivers run produces a structured set of metrics for each campaign type in your dataset.

Projected Spend

Total forecasted advertising investment across the forecast horizon.

Forecasted Outcome

Expected revenue (e-commerce) or lead volume (lead-gen) based on historical patterns.

Modelled Efficiency

Projected ROAS or CPL calculated from the spend-to-outcome relationship in your data.

Confidence Score

A 0-100 score reflecting data quality, variance stability, and model reliability.

Stability Label

Human-readable classification - High stability, Medium stability, or Directional only.

Forecast With Confidence

Upload your campaign data and see confidence-scored forecasts by campaign type within minutes.